Project Controls in the AI EraRisk management, Monte Carlo and change control · Lesson 16 of 22

Change control and baseline management

Article · 12 min · 8 min lecture

Video lecture

Change control and baseline management

9 chapters · about 8 min · full transcript

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Chapter 1 of 9

Change is normal. Uncontrolled change is fatal

  • Types of change
  • The five-step change process
  • Delegation of authority and baseline versions

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Chapters

Why change control is a controls issue

Change is normal. Uncontrolled change is what destroys baselines, budgets and relationships. Change control ensures every change to scope, schedule or budget is identified, assessed, decided and recorded, so the baseline always reflects what was approved and performance measurement stays honest.

Types of change

TypeExampleTypical treatment
Client-directed scope changeAdditional floor, new featureVariation / change order; budget and schedule adjusted
Internal change (no scope change)Method change, re-sequencingInternal change record; may transfer budget between accounts
Design developmentDetails evolve within scopeUsually within contingency; watch for hidden scope growth
Contingency drawdownRisk occurredTransfer from contingency to control account with approval
Trend (potential change)Early warning something may changeLogged and assessed before it becomes a formal change

The change process step by step

  1. Identify and log. Anyone can raise a change request (CR) or early warning. Give it an ID.
  2. Assess impact. Scope, cost, schedule (run it through the schedule), risk, quality and contractual implications.
  3. Decide. The right authority (per the delegation matrix) approves, rejects or defers.
  4. Implement. Update the baseline (scope, schedule, cost), communicate, issue instructions.
  5. Record and track. Keep the change log, including rejected changes and their reasons.

Change request template

CR ID: CR-031         Raised by: Client PM      Date: 04-Jun
Description: Add rooftop solar canopy to car park
Reason: Client sustainability target
Scope impact: New WBS element 1.7 (canopy structure, PV, wiring)
Cost impact: +$410k (estimate class 3, range $380–460k)
Schedule impact: +3 weeks to handover if approved by 20-Jun; +6 weeks after
Risk impact: New risk R-41 structural loading; opportunity O-05 energy savings
Contract basis: Variation under clause (per contract)
Recommendation: Approve with 3-week extension of time
Decision: ______  Authority: ______  Date: ______

Note the time-sensitivity of impact: the later a change is decided, the more it usually costs. Showing this encourages faster decisions.

Delegation of authority

Define who can approve what. Illustrative example:

Change valueSchedule impactApprover
< $25kNo milestone impactProject manager
$25k–250k< 2 weeksProject director
> $250k or any key milestoneAnySponsor / change board

Baseline versions

Every approved change creates a new baseline version with a log of what changed. Keep the original baseline for reference: performance against the current approved baseline measures execution efficiency, while comparison with the original shows how much the project has grown or changed overall. Both stories matter to leadership.

Scope creep

Scope creep is unapproved growth, often through many small "can you just…" requests. Signs include rising hours with no new CRs, design reviews adding features, and teams working on items not in the WBS dictionary. Countermeasures: a clear WBS dictionary, a simple CR process that is easy to use, and visible trend logs.

Worked example

Illustrative. A fictional ERP implementation for a distribution company in Lahore accepted 40 "small" configuration requests informally over four months. None exceeded two days of effort individually, but together they consumed about 70 person-days and pushed the go-live by five weeks. After introducing a trend log, each request was estimated and batched weekly for decision; about a third were deferred to a post-go-live phase.

Common mistakes

  • Implementing changes before approval.
  • Updating the baseline without a change record ("rubber baselining").
  • Assessing cost impact but not schedule impact.
  • Losing track of pending changes in the forecast.
  • Change processes so heavy that people bypass them.

AI in change management

AI can compare change requests with the WBS dictionary to flag likely scope growth, estimate impacts from similar past changes and draft impact summaries. Final impact assessment and approval stay with accountable people, recorded in the audit trail.

Quick self-check

Compare the hours booked in the last month against the work packages in the WBS dictionary. Are people working on items that are not in scope and not in the change log? Count the requests in the trend log that are older than two weeks without a decision. Both measures are simple, early indicators of whether change control is actually working or whether scope is quietly growing around it.

Hands-on: change log with automatic routing

Columns: A CR ID | B Description | C Type | D Cost impact | E Schedule impact (weeks) | F Key milestone? (Y/N)
G Approver   =IFS(OR(D2>250000,F2="Y"),"Sponsor / change board",
                  OR(D2>=25000,E2>0),"Project director",
                  TRUE,"Project manager")
H Raised | I Decided | J Status (Trend / Pending / Approved / Rejected / Deferred)
K Days open  =IF(I2="",TODAY()-H2,I2-H2)
L Ageing     =IF(AND(I2="",K2>14),"OVERDUE DECISION","")
M Likelihood (for pending)   N Weighted cost =IF(J2="Pending",D2*M2,0)
Pending changes for the forecast  =SUM(N:N)

The thresholds mirror the illustrative delegation table above; use your own organisation's delegation of authority. Link Pending changes for the forecast into the EAC template so the forecast includes the change pipeline.

Prompt template: a first-draft impact summary (approved AI tool only)

Using ONLY the WBS dictionary extract, the change request text and the schedule extract below:
1. List which WBS elements the change touches and whether it adds scope not in the dictionary.
2. List schedule activities likely to be affected and whether any are on the critical path (use the Total Float column).
3. Draft a neutral impact summary with sections: scope, cost (state "estimate required" if no figures are given),
   schedule, risk, contract. Mark every inference as "to be verified by <role>".

How to measure success

  • Median days from change request to decision (target falling).
  • Zero implemented changes without approval; zero baseline updates without a change record.
  • Hours booked to work outside the WBS dictionary (target near zero).

Key takeaways

  • Every change to scope, schedule or budget is logged, assessed, decided by the right authority, implemented and recorded.
  • Assess schedule impact through the schedule model, not by guesswork, and show time-sensitivity of decisions.
  • Version baselines; keep the original for context and the current one for performance measurement.
  • Watch for scope creep via trend logs and an easy-to-use change process.

Check your understanding

Quick questions to lock in the lesson. They don’t count towards your certificate.

  1. A team re-baselines the schedule to remove a delay without any approved change. What is this called and why is it a problem?
  2. Which should be included in the impact assessment of a change request?
  3. Why keep the original baseline after approved changes?

Put it into practice

Design a delegation-of-authority table and a one-page change request template tailored to a project you know.

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